Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.285004 0.321077 0.361800 0.411556 0.471231 0.541173 6.303603e-01
2024-12-22 0.223095 0.268377 0.324516 0.400713 0.503859 0.642437 8.497820e-01
2024-12-29 0.190944 0.240710 0.306782 0.404003 0.549200 0.768758 1.150501e+00
2025-01-05 0.162832 0.211847 0.280048 0.386328 0.557055 0.840232 1.398732e+00
2025-01-12 0.141548 0.188541 0.256293 0.366683 0.554691 0.891625 1.634939e+00
2025-01-19 0.126188 0.171414 0.238597 0.352341 0.556350 0.948864 1.914236e+00
2025-01-26 0.121355 0.168947 0.242372 0.373010 0.624043 1.157124 2.698155e+00
2025-02-02 0.120212 0.171755 0.254561 0.410149 0.733565 1.506802 4.273002e+00
2025-02-09 0.116322 0.169654 0.258166 0.432115 0.818782 1.847557 6.404487e+00
2025-02-16 0.111588 0.165591 0.257724 0.445984 0.890335 2.197709 9.442289e+00
2025-02-23 0.105515 0.158650 0.251242 0.446274 0.929256 2.475162 1.302826e+01
2025-03-02 0.096784 0.146442 0.233859 0.420733 0.894654 2.478259 1.461116e+01
2025-03-09 0.091043 0.139321 0.225882 0.415987 0.919833 2.747720 2.055797e+01
2025-03-16 0.085463 0.132108 0.217135 0.408507 0.936932 3.012566 2.930519e+01
2025-03-23 0.081744 0.127901 0.213734 0.412824 0.991547 3.514388 5.133531e+01
2025-03-30 0.076103 0.119778 0.201788 0.394850 0.970719 3.621369 6.783206e+01
2025-04-06 0.070772 0.111874 0.189614 0.374668 0.937544 3.639931 8.452737e+01
2025-04-13 0.066434 0.105539 0.180114 0.359913 0.919335 3.742768 1.156450e+02
2025-04-20 0.065781 0.106006 0.184572 0.381205 1.035983 4.904156 5.257541e+02
2025-04-27 0.066439 0.108987 0.194625 0.419493 1.239302 7.339060 2.089588e+06
2025-05-04 0.065671 0.109141 0.198598 0.442158 1.395593 10.069248 NaN
2025-05-11 0.064307 0.108005 0.199573 0.456475 1.525203 13.267325 NaN
2025-05-18 0.062107 0.105040 0.196095 0.456775 1.587779 15.897808 NaN